#256 Illinois-B (8-12)

avg: 580.53  •  sd: 70.43  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
124 Denver Loss 3-9 546.36 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
45 Elon** Loss 2-11 1005.05 Ignored Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
187 North Carolina-B Loss 6-9 445.82 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
164 Ohio Loss 5-10 402.97 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
241 Michigan-B Win 9-6 1060.87 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
255 Wake Forest Loss 5-7 258.34 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
309 Washington University-B Win 12-7 838.49 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
77 Iowa State** Loss 3-13 750.03 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
154 Macalester Loss 3-10 442.94 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
250 Illinois State Loss 7-12 92.07 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
100 Missouri** Loss 1-13 665.35 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
161 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Loss 5-12 384.17 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
221 Wisconsin-B Win 13-6 1310.71 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
295 Loyola-Chicago Loss 4-6 32.93 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
337 Purdue-B Win 9-7 464.63 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
315 Wright State Win 9-5 819.8 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
133 Lipscomb Loss 4-13 514.86 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
375 Ohio-B Win 9-4 486.01 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
219 Missouri State Win 8-7 843.24 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
243 Toledo Win 7-6 764.93 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)