#272 Rowan (11-23)

avg: 856.78  •  sd: 45.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
142 Bryant Loss 4-12 740.78 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
55 Williams** Loss 1-13 1149.57 Ignored Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
136 Wesleyan Loss 9-13 950.34 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
108 Vermont-B** Loss 5-13 875.03 Ignored Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
117 Rochester Loss 7-15 827.33 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
131 Yale Loss 5-12 779.37 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
136 Wesleyan Loss 8-11 1003.3 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
188 Brown-B Loss 4-11 563.41 Mar 2nd Philly Special 2024
310 Stevens Tech Win 7-5 1006.98 Mar 2nd Philly Special 2024
401 Siena** Win 7-0 639.98 Ignored Mar 2nd Philly Special 2024
115 Bowdoin Loss 2-13 836.94 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
188 Brown-B Loss 5-13 563.41 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
187 College of New Jersey Loss 9-12 818.06 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
310 Stevens Tech Loss 8-12 237.68 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
234 Haverford Loss 6-9 580.96 Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
382 Lehigh-B Win 11-5 887.63 Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
407 West Chester-B** Win 7-0 467.56 Ignored Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
175 Delaware Loss 7-11 754.99 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
319 Edinboro Win 8-6 954.65 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
310 Stevens Tech Loss 7-8 553.83 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
150 West Chester Loss 5-9 785.47 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
163 Columbia Loss 5-12 675.42 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
374 New Jersey Tech Win 13-4 923.7 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
191 NYU Loss 5-12 556.8 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
162 Rutgers Loss 3-13 682.55 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
163 Columbia Loss 6-15 675.42 Apr 14th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
283 Hofstra Win 15-7 1409.27 Apr 14th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
300 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 11-9 964.03 Apr 14th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
163 Columbia Loss 7-15 675.42 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
102 Connecticut Loss 7-15 895.12 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
191 NYU Loss 11-15 775.64 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
275 Central Connecticut State Win 11-6 1395.35 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
283 Hofstra Win 15-4 1409.27 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
327 SUNY-Binghamton-B Win 15-5 1214.21 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)