#160 Washington State (17-13)

avg: 1283.92  •  sd: 50.95  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
19 Oregon State Loss 10-15 1644.86 Jan 27th Trouble in Corvegas
361 Oregon State-B** Win 15-5 1040.58 Ignored Jan 27th Trouble in Corvegas
355 Portland State** Win 15-1 1091.18 Ignored Jan 27th Trouble in Corvegas
66 Western Washington Loss 9-15 1157.96 Jan 27th Trouble in Corvegas
338 Cal Poly-Humboldt Win 15-7 1163.56 Jan 28th Trouble in Corvegas
355 Portland State Win 15-10 944.79 Jan 28th Trouble in Corvegas
66 Western Washington Loss 12-15 1372.95 Jan 28th Trouble in Corvegas
371 Boise State Win 15-7 956.76 Feb 24th Palouse Open 2024
154 Gonzaga Loss 7-12 780.86 Feb 24th Palouse Open 2024
321 Idaho** Win 15-4 1240.22 Ignored Feb 24th Palouse Open 2024
276 Whitworth Win 15-5 1446.13 Feb 24th Palouse Open 2024
154 Gonzaga Win 10-5 1875.27 Feb 25th Palouse Open 2024
276 Whitworth Win 11-4 1446.13 Feb 25th Palouse Open 2024
291 Pacific Lutheran Win 13-4 1348.55 Mar 2nd PLU Mens BBQ
355 Portland State Win 12-7 1011.7 Mar 2nd PLU Mens BBQ
365 Seattle** Win 12-5 1031.55 Ignored Mar 2nd PLU Mens BBQ
155 Washington-B Loss 9-11 1050.79 Mar 2nd PLU Mens BBQ
178 Portland Win 11-8 1574.38 Mar 3rd PLU Mens BBQ
155 Washington-B Win 7-4 1796.16 Mar 3rd PLU Mens BBQ
180 Brigham Young-B Loss 9-13 776.37 Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
288 Montana Win 15-4 1380.85 Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
149 Montana State Win 14-11 1628.42 Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
29 Utah** Loss 0-15 1347.07 Ignored Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
288 Montana Win 14-7 1363.74 Apr 14th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
32 Utah State** Loss 6-15 1308.9 Ignored Apr 14th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
21 British Columbia** Loss 3-13 1449.89 Ignored May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
29 Utah Loss 8-13 1450.91 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
40 Victoria Loss 10-13 1529.34 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
155 Washington-B Loss 10-13 971.86 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
149 Montana State Loss 11-13 1086.25 May 5th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)