#20 Washington University (27-6)

avg: 2086.16  •  sd: 55.62  •  top 16/20: 63%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
54 Emory Win 13-5 2355.32 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
6 Pittsburgh Loss 12-13 2207.82 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
9 Vermont Loss 11-13 2019.05 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
12 Carleton College Loss 7-13 1667.08 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
183 South Florida** Win 13-3 1786.53 Ignored Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
85 Cornell Win 12-11 1700.01 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
28 Georgia Tech Win 14-13 2113.02 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
121 Cal Poly-SLO-B** Win 12-5 2001.25 Ignored Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
67 Stanford Win 11-7 2138.46 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
66 Western Washington Win 13-7 2230.97 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Win 10-9 2032.18 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
7 Oregon Loss 7-12 1809.56 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
43 Tulane Win 12-8 2279.57 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
47 Alabama Win 12-7 2305.32 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
62 Purdue Win 12-6 2269.06 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
45 St Olaf Win 12-9 2156.71 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
57 Virginia Win 11-8 2104.44 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
61 Chicago Win 11-5 2294.33 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
45 St Olaf Win 13-7 2368.87 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
67 Stanford Win 13-6 2271.57 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
95 Arkansas Win 12-8 1975.74 Apr 13th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2024
233 Oklahoma** Win 15-6 1605.7 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2024
320 Washington University-B** Win 13-5 1251.34 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2024
356 Wichita State** Win 15-6 1089.08 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2024
137 Kansas Win 13-7 1922.88 Apr 14th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2024
51 Missouri Win 13-11 1993.72 Apr 14th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2024
95 Arkansas Win 12-7 2055.1 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
1 Colorado Loss 8-15 1934.92 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
51 Missouri Win 14-11 2078.22 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
228 Oklahoma State** Win 14-5 1622.23 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
95 Arkansas Win 13-10 1862.73 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
10 Texas Loss 9-14 1772.32 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
38 Texas A&M Win 14-8 2421.49 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)