#59 Purdue (16-9)

avg: 1516.42  •  sd: 73.76  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
27 Brown Win 10-8 2131.81 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
89 Virginia Tech Win 11-4 1906.92 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
49 Ohio Loss 9-11 1357.5 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
55 Georgia Tech Loss 8-10 1286.29 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
62 Duke Win 11-8 1849.66 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
64 Penn State Loss 5-7 1148.84 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
96 Iowa State Win 11-2 1853.51 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
106 Michigan Tech Win 8-4 1753.19 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
179 Minnesota-B** Win 13-1 1227.62 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
45 Macalester Win 7-6 1767.54 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
40 Minnesota Loss 0-8 1113.8 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
70 Northwestern Win 12-1 2019.28 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
141 Grand Valley Win 7-6 1047.69 Apr 13th Eastern Great Lakes D I Womens Conferences 2024
12 Michigan Loss 4-9 1599.69 Apr 13th Eastern Great Lakes D I Womens Conferences 2024
117 Michigan State Loss 6-7 987.88 Apr 13th Eastern Great Lakes D I Womens Conferences 2024
222 Notre Dame-B** Win 13-2 850.6 Ignored Apr 13th Eastern Great Lakes D I Womens Conferences 2024
140 Indiana Win 10-5 1502.71 Apr 14th Eastern Great Lakes D I Womens Conferences 2024
23 Notre Dame Loss 6-12 1352.22 Apr 14th Eastern Great Lakes D I Womens Conferences 2024
129 Illinois Win 6-3 1584.2 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
160 Loyola-Chicago** Win 14-1 1418.85 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
12 Michigan Loss 5-9 1670.63 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
222 Notre Dame-B** Win 13-0 850.6 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
99 Chicago Loss 7-9 940.43 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
129 Illinois Win 12-5 1637.5 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
160 Loyola-Chicago** Win 13-4 1418.85 Ignored Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)