#53 Texas (17-14)

avg: 1561.29  •  sd: 71.03  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
113 Saint Louis Win 15-0 1731.28 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
96 Iowa State Win 9-3 1853.51 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
143 John Brown Win 7-6 1044.46 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
77 Missouri Loss 4-6 1003.35 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
42 Texas-Dallas Loss 4-9 1079.92 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
124 Arkansas Win 12-5 1671.77 Feb 18th Dust Bowl 2024
1 British Columbia** Loss 4-13 2170.47 Ignored Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
14 California-San Diego Loss 2-10 1542.18 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
17 California-Santa Cruz Loss 4-9 1478.47 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
29 UCLA Win 8-6 2153.67 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
30 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 6-8 1541.42 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
28 California Loss 1-10 1256.51 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
27 Brown Loss 6-11 1322.45 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
18 Colorado State Loss 9-13 1653.03 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
92 Middlebury Win 13-7 1862.48 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
99 Chicago Win 13-3 1819.77 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
18 Colorado State Loss 11-15 1690.43 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
24 Ohio State Loss 8-13 1397.72 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
34 Washington University Win 15-6 2384.16 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
213 Houston** Win 13-2 921.58 Ignored Apr 13th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
232 North Texas** Win 11-4 699.18 Ignored Apr 13th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
196 Texas-San Antonio** Win 13-1 1086.27 Ignored Apr 13th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
153 Texas State Win 9-6 1279.8 Apr 13th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
149 Texas A&M** Win 13-1 1477.51 Ignored Apr 14th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
42 Texas-Dallas Loss 7-8 1554.92 Apr 14th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
149 Texas A&M** Win 13-1 1477.51 Ignored Apr 14th Texas D I Womens Conferences 2024
197 Sam Houston** Win 13-2 1067.35 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
115 Denver Win 9-5 1648.67 Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
34 Washington University Loss 7-11 1317.26 Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
206 Texas-B** Win 14-2 986.61 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
42 Texas-Dallas Loss 6-8 1379.43 Apr 28th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)