#86 Williams (15-5)

avg: 1333.84  •  sd: 50.35  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
71 Columbia Win 7-6 1532.82 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
111 NYU Win 9-5 1670.18 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
164 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 10-4 1406.94 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
58 Cornell Loss 7-10 1136.62 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
73 Wellesley Win 9-8 1516.76 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
81 Wesleyan Win 9-8 1478.32 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
145 Dartmouth Win 11-4 1506.1 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
62 Duke Loss 4-7 987.9 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
138 Liberty Win 10-3 1546.76 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
151 North Carolina-B Win 10-3 1467.95 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
62 Duke Loss 7-8 1359.05 Mar 24th Rodeo 2024
138 Liberty Win 9-6 1365.32 Mar 24th Rodeo 2024
166 Smith Win 11-4 1386.69 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2024
175 Amherst Win 9-5 1224.55 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2024
105 Mount Holyoke Win 10-5 1762.51 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2024
166 Smith Win 10-5 1360.59 May 4th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2024
175 Amherst Win 10-7 1085.15 May 4th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2024
92 Middlebury Loss 9-10 1179.95 May 4th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2024
105 Mount Holyoke Loss 8-11 823 May 4th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2024
166 Smith Win 7-3 1386.69 May 5th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)