#7 Colorado (20-6)

avg: 2426.24  •  sd: 74.83  •  top 16/20: 100%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 California Win 12-8 2297.67 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
85 California-San Diego-B** Win 14-5 1939.27 Ignored Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
15 Western Washington Win 13-9 2551.3 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
9 California-Santa Barbara Loss 9-10 2201.41 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
25 Utah Win 15-8 2450.83 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
18 Colorado State Win 15-9 2587.07 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
4 Oregon Loss 8-15 2004.24 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
18 Colorado State Win 14-7 2654.48 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
15 Western Washington Win 9-7 2412.07 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
11 Brigham Young Win 10-9 2381.04 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
28 California Win 8-5 2310.12 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
17 California-Santa Cruz Win 10-7 2468.13 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
5 Stanford Loss 5-10 1945.99 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
1 British Columbia Loss 8-11 2404.86 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
22 Pittsburgh Win 11-5 2534.21 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
3 Carleton College Win 13-12 2747 Mar 16th NW Challenge 2024
46 Whitman** Win 13-3 2240.31 Ignored Mar 16th NW Challenge 2024
1 British Columbia Loss 6-13 2170.47 Mar 17th NW Challenge 2024
21 Northeastern Win 13-4 2559.88 Mar 17th NW Challenge 2024
6 North Carolina Loss 10-13 2171.25 Mar 17th NW Challenge 2024
169 Colorado-B** Win 15-1 1372.75 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Womens Conferences 2024
18 Colorado State Win 15-6 2671.59 Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Womens Conferences 2024
153 Texas State** Win 15-3 1461.23 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
115 Denver** Win 15-0 1719.61 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
34 Washington University** Win 14-0 2384.16 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
18 Colorado State Win 15-7 2671.59 Apr 28th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)