#61 Florida (17-10)

avg: 1493.44  •  sd: 86.97  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
158 Case Western Reserve Win 9-6 1253.07 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
21 Northeastern Loss 3-14 1359.88 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
40 Minnesota Loss 10-13 1385.66 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
8 Tufts** Loss 3-15 1755.7 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
16 Pennsylvania** Loss 5-13 1499.13 Ignored Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
32 Central Florida Loss 5-9 1288.13 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
221 LSU** Win 11-0 856.64 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
234 Florida Tech** Win 11-0 661.95 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
241 Florida-B** Win 6-0 435.05 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
202 Alabama** Win 11-2 1034.07 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
32 Central Florida Win 3-0 2417.19 Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
194 Georgia College** Win 11-2 1119.2 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
103 Clemson Win 12-5 1799.73 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
170 Jacksonville State** Win 13-1 1361.77 Ignored Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
23 Notre Dame Loss 5-9 1402.47 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
55 Georgia Tech Win 12-11 1673.96 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
23 Notre Dame Loss 4-14 1331.53 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
107 Florida State Win 12-8 1623.24 Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
214 Miami (Florida)** Win 15-2 917.24 Ignored Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
241 Florida-B** Win 15-1 435.05 Ignored Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
32 Central Florida Loss 4-14 1217.19 Apr 14th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
32 Central Florida Loss 4-15 1217.19 Apr 14th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
107 Florida State Win 10-8 1444.75 Apr 14th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
162 Emory** Win 15-2 1416.03 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
63 Tennessee Win 12-10 1716.24 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
55 Georgia Tech Win 12-11 1673.96 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
19 Georgia Loss 5-13 1428.17 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)