#170 Villanova (21-9)

avg: 1251.96  •  sd: 67.92  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
215 East Carolina Win 9-6 1484.16 Feb 24th Monument Melee
202 George Mason Loss 8-10 853.66 Feb 24th Monument Melee
217 George Washington Win 11-7 1525.4 Feb 24th Monument Melee
289 Drexel Win 15-4 1369.67 Feb 25th Monument Melee
147 Maryland-Baltimore County Win 10-6 1812.03 Feb 25th Monument Melee
204 Virginia Commonwealth Win 12-7 1628.49 Feb 25th Monument Melee
367 Dartmouth-B** Win 13-4 1017.54 Ignored Mar 16th Free Tournament
374 New Jersey Tech** Win 13-5 923.7 Ignored Mar 16th Free Tournament
411 RIT-B** Win 13-0 334 Ignored Mar 16th Free Tournament
376 SUNY-Fredonia** Win 13-2 908.89 Ignored Mar 16th Free Tournament
364 Rensselaer Polytech Win 11-7 899.14 Mar 17th Free Tournament
126 Towson Loss 8-15 824.28 Mar 17th Free Tournament
198 Messiah Win 10-9 1253.99 Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
212 West Virginia Loss 8-9 954.5 Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
175 Delaware Win 9-7 1501.22 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
175 Delaware Win 8-7 1346.88 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
319 Edinboro Win 11-5 1254.16 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
234 Haverford Loss 9-10 874.52 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
150 West Chester Win 9-8 1439.53 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
289 Drexel Win 12-9 1115.03 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
289 Drexel Win 11-4 1369.67 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
92 Pennsylvania Loss 3-13 939.36 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
56 Temple Win 9-8 1868.67 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
150 West Chester Loss 2-13 714.53 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
97 Lehigh Loss 5-12 926.34 Apr 14th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
150 West Chester Win 9-5 1843.58 Apr 14th East Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
157 Miami (Ohio) Loss 8-13 793.6 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
56 Temple Loss 11-15 1362.5 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
292 Kent State Win 15-5 1347.63 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
212 West Virginia Win 11-6 1626.2 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)