#75 Dartmouth (16-15)

avg: 1612.49  •  sd: 41.61  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
307 Mary Washington Win 11-6 1229.85 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
92 Pennsylvania Win 10-7 1929.03 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
59 William & Mary Win 10-9 1852.3 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
103 SUNY-Binghamton Win 9-7 1770.98 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
65 Richmond Loss 11-12 1549.99 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
70 James Madison Loss 11-13 1404.35 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
61 Chicago Loss 8-8 1694.33 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
10 Texas Loss 7-13 1688.65 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
25 Middlebury Loss 8-13 1507.91 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
107 Iowa State Loss 6-8 1175.64 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
116 LSU Loss 8-9 1306.09 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 12-13 1470.69 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
162 Rutgers Win 9-8 1407.55 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
93 Princeton Win 10-9 1663.03 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
202 George Mason Win 10-8 1378.99 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
152 Harvard Win 10-7 1700.91 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
26 McGill Loss 12-13 1872.12 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
93 Princeton Loss 9-11 1288.83 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
131 Yale Win 11-9 1628.58 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
80 Bates Loss 12-14 1370 Apr 13th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
218 Middlebury-B Win 13-9 1473.28 Apr 13th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
367 Dartmouth-B** Win 15-2 1017.54 Ignored Apr 13th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
115 Bowdoin Win 11-8 1802.54 Apr 14th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
225 Colby Win 13-6 1635.69 Apr 14th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
8 Brown Loss 9-15 1760.91 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
159 Rhode Island Win 12-8 1729.3 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
9 Vermont Loss 9-13 1829.32 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
201 MIT Win 10-6 1612.87 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
76 Massachusetts -B Win 14-11 1923.84 May 5th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
26 McGill Loss 12-14 1776.16 May 5th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
18 Northeastern Loss 8-15 1543.24 May 5th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)