#159 Rhode Island (13-14)

avg: 1288.15  •  sd: 56.06  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
199 Connecticut College Loss 9-11 876.54 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
76 Massachusetts -B Loss 8-10 1347.84 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
117 Rochester Loss 8-9 1302.33 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
131 Yale Loss 9-10 1254.37 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
142 Bryant Loss 8-10 1078.11 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
142 Bryant Win 8-5 1794.38 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
117 Rochester Win 9-8 1552.33 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
131 Yale Win 8-5 1832.97 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
112 Boston College Loss 7-8 1330.9 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
275 Central Connecticut State Win 8-3 1448.66 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
297 Massachusetts-Lowell Win 8-5 1183.11 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
112 Boston College Loss 6-7 1330.9 Mar 24th Ocean State Invite
275 Central Connecticut State Win 8-7 973.66 Mar 24th Ocean State Invite
327 SUNY-Binghamton-B** Win 12-5 1214.21 Ignored Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
318 Swarthmore Win 11-7 1122.36 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
267 SUNY-Geneseo Win 11-5 1471.49 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
187 College of New Jersey Loss 8-9 1038.42 Mar 31st Northeast Classic 2024
213 Ithaca Loss 9-12 730.27 Mar 31st Northeast Classic 2024
218 Middlebury-B Win 9-6 1473.28 Mar 31st Northeast Classic 2024
8 Brown** Loss 3-15 1676.39 Ignored Apr 13th Greater New England D I Mens Conferences 2024
4 Massachusetts** Loss 1-15 1854.1 Ignored Apr 13th Greater New England D I Mens Conferences 2024
26 McGill Loss 6-10 1500.96 Apr 13th Greater New England D I Mens Conferences 2024
385 New Hampshire** Win 15-3 848.23 Ignored Apr 14th Greater New England D I Mens Conferences 2024
293 Maine Win 10-6 1241.78 Apr 14th Greater New England D I Mens Conferences 2024
141 Boston University Win 11-9 1591.52 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
75 Dartmouth Loss 8-12 1171.33 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
23 Tufts** Loss 5-13 1424.06 Ignored May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)