#31 Minnesota (8-14)

avg: 1713.47  •  sd: 54.52  •  top 16/20: 0.4%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
8 Brigham Young Loss 7-13 1513.03 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
47 McGill Win 13-4 2191.44 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
62 Tulane Win 13-9 1880.92 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
13 Texas Loss 11-13 1742.01 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
28 Pittsburgh Loss 9-13 1346.16 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
38 Utah State Win 13-12 1757.62 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
44 Emory Win 13-11 1837.03 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
40 Wisconsin Loss 9-11 1378.8 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
21 Georgia Tech Win 13-12 1979.79 Mar 1st Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
1 Massachusetts Loss 4-13 1659.1 Mar 1st Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
13 Texas Loss 5-13 1370.85 Mar 1st Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
3 North Carolina Loss 10-15 1752.52 Mar 1st Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
16 Brown Loss 11-15 1538.56 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 13-15 1640.61 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
65 Tennessee Win 15-6 2053.54 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2025
36 Michigan Win 13-5 2252.78 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
3 North Carolina Loss 8-13 1709.96 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
20 Vermont Loss 10-13 1529.93 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
17 Tufts Loss 8-10 1634.34 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 11-15 1473.63 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
25 Penn State Loss 11-15 1446.21 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
20 Vermont Win 15-14 1983.08 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)