#221 LSU (7-24)

avg: 256.64  •  sd: 92.63  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
32 Central Florida** Loss 0-13 1217.19 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
107 Florida State** Loss 1-13 582.08 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
155 Tulane Loss 3-6 301.86 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
66 Trinity** Loss 0-13 856.11 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
122 Boston College** Loss 0-13 475.76 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
170 Jacksonville State Loss 3-8 161.77 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
202 Alabama Loss 2-10 -165.93 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
61 Florida** Loss 0-11 893.44 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
241 Florida-B Win 11-2 435.05 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
194 Georgia College Loss 5-9 -9.86 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
32 Central Florida** Loss 0-11 1217.19 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
234 Florida Tech Win 7-6 186.95 Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
241 Florida-B Win 4-1 435.05 Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
206 Texas-B Win 8-6 687.11 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
153 Texas State** Loss 1-13 261.23 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
66 Trinity** Loss 1-13 856.11 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
90 MIT** Loss 0-13 706.4 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
93 Rice** Loss 0-13 681.27 Ignored Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
149 Texas A&M Loss 7-15 277.51 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
202 Alabama Win 8-7 559.07 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Womens Conferences 2024
31 Alabama-Huntsville** Loss 1-15 1232.1 Ignored Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Womens Conferences 2024
155 Tulane Loss 5-12 248.55 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Womens Conferences 2024
211 Vanderbilt Win 6-5 457.2 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Womens Conferences 2024
202 Alabama Loss 6-10 -62.09 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Womens Conferences 2024
31 Alabama-Huntsville** Loss 0-15 1232.1 Ignored Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Womens Conferences 2024
202 Alabama Win 8-7 559.07 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
107 Florida State** Loss 0-15 582.08 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
19 Georgia** Loss 0-15 1428.17 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
63 Tennessee** Loss 0-15 878.12 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
162 Emory Loss 1-10 216.03 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
218 Georgia-B Loss 7-10 -105.3 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)