#138 Liberty (7-20)

avg: 946.76  •  sd: 44.91  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
50 Georgetown Loss 5-10 1027.37 Jan 27th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
65 James Madison Loss 2-9 862.49 Jan 27th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
229 Virginia-B** Win 9-1 759.59 Ignored Jan 27th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
24 Ohio State** Loss 2-13 1293.87 Ignored Jan 27th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
50 Georgetown** Loss 2-9 1001.27 Ignored Jan 28th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
51 Virginia** Loss 0-9 977.69 Ignored Jan 28th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
89 Virginia Tech Loss 5-7 978.77 Jan 28th Winta Binta Vinta 2024
163 Catholic Win 8-2 1412.68 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
217 Georgetown-B** Win 10-1 892.68 Ignored Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
100 Davenport Loss 5-7 891.3 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
156 George Washington Win 8-7 965.57 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
50 Georgetown Loss 5-9 1072.21 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
145 Dartmouth Win 9-4 1506.1 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
62 Duke Loss 7-8 1359.05 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
151 North Carolina-B Loss 5-8 414.35 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
86 Williams Loss 3-10 733.84 Mar 23rd Rodeo 2024
145 Dartmouth Win 8-7 1031.1 Mar 24th Rodeo 2024
86 Williams Loss 6-9 915.27 Mar 24th Rodeo 2024
65 James Madison Loss 5-14 862.49 Apr 20th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2024
51 Virginia** Loss 4-14 977.69 Ignored Apr 20th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2024
89 Virginia Tech Loss 8-14 770.88 Apr 20th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2024
36 William & Mary** Loss 5-13 1159.89 Ignored Apr 20th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2024
41 South Carolina** Loss 1-15 1098.94 Ignored May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
104 Appalachian State Loss 10-14 798 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
89 Virginia Tech Loss 7-14 724.03 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
56 North Carolina State Loss 5-11 943.77 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
125 Johns Hopkins Win 6-5 1187.17 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)