#98 Denver (14-3)

avg: 1323.68  •  sd: 70.3  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
162 Arizona Win 11-8 1220.2 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
224 Arizona-B** Win 13-2 946 Ignored Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
89 San Diego State Loss 9-10 1270.48 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
130 Northern Arizona Win 12-5 1689.04 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
85 Grand Canyon Loss 8-10 1168.67 Jan 26th New Year Fest 2025
130 Northern Arizona Win 10-8 1351.71 Jan 26th New Year Fest 2025
162 Arizona Win 15-3 1454.59 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
244 Colorado College-B** Win 15-4 600 Ignored Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
177 Colorado Mines Win 15-2 1362.06 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
175 Colorado-B Win 15-2 1379.62 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
115 Arizona State Win 12-9 1541.4 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
72 Colorado College Loss 5-15 956.22 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
176 Charleston Win 13-2 1374.01 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
141 Georgia College Win 9-8 1137.61 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
233 Florida-B** Win 13-0 835.72 Ignored Mar 15th Southerns 2025
184 Georgia Southern Win 9-6 1109.25 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
140 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 8-4 1578.03 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)