#192 Connecticut College (5-9)

avg: 551.06  •  sd: 48.46  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
142 Ithaca Loss 4-6 554.59 Mar 2nd SouthHill Slam
239 SUNY-Albany Win 7-4 481.15 Mar 2nd SouthHill Slam
244 Cornell-B** Win 10-1 317.22 Ignored Mar 2nd SouthHill Slam
239 SUNY-Albany Win 9-0 584.99 Mar 3rd SouthHill Slam
142 Ithaca Loss 5-9 391.14 Mar 3rd SouthHill Slam
110 Rutgers** Loss 2-10 565.12 Ignored Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
105 Mount Holyoke Loss 4-9 588.61 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
121 Temple Loss 3-8 478.5 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
144 Skidmore Loss 4-8 347.48 Mar 31st Northeast Classic 2024
181 Vermont-C Loss 5-7 282.79 Mar 31st Northeast Classic 2024
144 Skidmore Loss 5-10 338.39 Apr 14th Eastern Metro East D III Womens Conferences 2024
228 Rensselaer Polytech Win 11-4 781.36 Apr 14th Eastern Metro East D III Womens Conferences 2024
215 Vassar Win 10-5 889.44 Apr 14th Eastern Metro East D III Womens Conferences 2024
81 Wesleyan Loss 3-7 753.32 Apr 14th Eastern Metro East D III Womens Conferences 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)